Soybean Complex Crushing & Stocks Update – Sep ’20
Executive Summary
U.S. soybean crush and stocks figures provided by the USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Jul ’20. Highlights from the updated report include:
Cake & meal accounted for 73.7% of the total soybean crush throughout Jul ’20, up slightly from the previous year, while oil accounted for 17.4% of the total soybean crush, down slightly from the previous year.
Jul ’20 soybean oil produced as a percentage of total crush rebounded to a ten month high level but remained below historical average figures for the tenth consecutive month.
Soybean Cake & Meal Stocks – Stocks Remain Higher YOY for the Fourth Consecutive Month, up 19.2%
Jul ’20 U.S. soybean cake & meal stocks declined 2.0% from the previous month but remained 19.2% above previous year levels. The YOY increase in soybean cake & meal stocks was the fourth experienced in a row. The month-over-month decline in soybean cake & meal stocks of 2.0% was a contraseasonal move when compared to the three year average June – July seasonal increase in stocks of 14.3%. Jul ’20 soybean cake & meal stocks finished 3.5% above three year average seasonal levels, finishing higher for the third consecutive month.
Soybean Oil Stocks – Stocks Remain Higher YOY for the Seventh Time in Eight Months, up 7.5%
Jul ’20 U.S. soybean oil stocks declined 7.7% from the previous month, reaching a seven month low level but remaining 7.5% above previous year volumes. Soybean oil stocks had finished lower on a YOY basis throughout eight consecutive months through Nov ’19 prior to finishing higher throughout seven of the past eight months. The month-over-month decline in soybean oil stocks of 7.7% was larger than the three year average June – July seasonal decline of 1.4%. Jul ’20 soybean oil stocks finished 1.2% above three year average seasonal levels, finishing higher for the seventh time in the past eight months.
- U.S. soybean crushings increased 2.8% on a YOY basis during Jul ’20, finishing at a record high seasonal level for the eighth consecutive month.
- U.S. soybean cake & meal stocks remained higher on a YOY basis for the fourth consecutive month during Jul ’20, finishing up 19.2%.
- U.S. soybean oil stocks remained higher on a YOY basis for the seventh time in the past eight months, finishing up 7.5%.
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