Soybean Complex Crushing & Stocks Update – May ’20
Executive Summary
U.S. soybean crush and stocks figures provided by USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Mar ’20. Highlights from the updated report include:
Cake & meal accounted for 73.5% of the total soybean crush throughout Mar ’20, up slightly from the previous year, while oil accounted for 17.3% of the total soybean crush, down slightly from the previous year.
Mar ’20 soybean oil produced as a percentage of total crush rebounded from the 21 month low level experienced throughout the previous month but remained below historical average figures for the sixth consecutive month.
Soybean Cake & Meal Stocks – Stocks Finish 20.8% Lower YOY
Mar ’20 U.S. soybean cake & meal stocks declined 7.1% MOM and 20.8% YOY, finishing lower on a YOY basis for the fifth time in the past seven months. The YOY decline in soybean cake & meal stocks was the largest experienced throughout the past six months on a percentage basis. The month-over-month decline in soybean cake & meal stocks of 7.1% was a contraseasonal move when compared to the three year February – March average seasonal increase in stocks of 26.8%. Mar ’20 soybean cake & meal stocks finished 13.3% below three year average seasonal levels, finishing lower for the third time in the past four months.
Soybean Oil Stocks – Stocks Reach a 23 Month High Level, Finish up 5.1% YOY
Mar ’20 U.S. soybean oil stocks increased 10.2% MOM to a 23 month high level, finishing 5.1% above previous year volumes. Soybean oil stocks had finished lower on a YOY basis throughout 11 consecutive months prior to finishing higher throughout each of the past four months. The month-over-month increase in soybean oil stocks of 10.2% was largely consistent with the three year February – March average seasonal build of 9.2%. Mar ’20 soybean oil stocks finished 8.1% above three year average seasonal levels, finishing higher for the fifth consecutive month.
- U.S. soybean crushings increased 7.1% on a YOY basis during Mar ’20, reaching a record high seasonal level.
- U.S. soybean cake & meal stocks finished 20.8% lower on a YOY basis during Mar ’20, declining on a YOY basis for the fifth time in the past seven months.
- U.S. soybean oil stocks finished 5.1% higher on a YOY basis during Mar ’20, reaching a 23 month high level, overall.
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