U.S. Oil Rig Count Update – 2/20/20
According to Baker Hughes, Feb 14th week ending U.S. oil rig counts increased slightly from the previous week but remained significantly lower on a YOY basis. Feb 14th oil rig counts increased 0.3% from the previous week but finished 21.8% lower on a YOY basis and 23.6% below the three and a half year high levels experienced during November of 2018. Oil rig counts remained 2.9% above the 33 month low level experienced throughout the week ending Jan 10th, however. Oil rig counts have declined over recent months in response to lower WTI crude oil prices, which remain 32% below the Oct ’18 highs.
Feb 14th week ending crude oil production remained at a record high level, despite the recent reductions in rigs, while oil production per rig remained near the three year high level experienced throughout the previous week. Crude oil production is expected to continue to strengthen throughout coming months according to drilling productivity estimates compiled throughout areas accounting for 95% of recent production gains, although growth forecasts continue to decelerate as drilled-but-uncompleted wells have reached a 14 month low level.
Oil Rig Counts Peaked in Late 2014, Prior to Declining Sharply in Early 2015
Oil Rig Counts Followed Crude Oil Prices Lower but Have Rebounded Since Mid-2016
Feb 14th Oil Rig Counts Increased 0.3% Week-Over-Week but Remained 21.8% Lower YOY
The Declines in Oil Rig Counts Since the Nov ’14 Peak Remain Significant
Declines in Vertical Rigs Remain the Most Significant on a Percentage Basis
Feb 14th Weekly Crude Oil Production Volumes Remained at a Record High Level
Feb 14th Crude Oil Production per Rig Remained Near Recent Three Year High Levels