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Soybean Complex Crushing & Stocks Update – Jan ’20
Executive Summary
U.S. soybean crush and stocks figures provided by USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Nov ’19. Highlights from the updated report include:
Cake & meal accounted for 73.6% of the total soybean crush throughout Nov ’19, up slightly from the previous year, while oil accounted for 17.3% of the total soybean crush, down slightly from the previous year.
Nov ’19 soybean oil produced as a percentage of total crush declined to a 14 month low level, finishing below historical average figures for the second consecutive month.
Soybean Cake & Meal Stocks – Stocks Finish 44.5% Higher YOY, Reach a Five Year High Seasonal Level
Nov ’19 U.S. soybean cake & meal stocks increased 27.2% MOM and 44.5% YOY, finishing higher on a YOY basis for the first time in the past three months and reaching a five year seasonal high level. The seasonal increase in soybean cake & meal stocks of 27.2% was a contraseasonal move when compared to the three year October – November seasonal average decline in stocks of 5.7%. Nov ’19 soybean cake & meal stocks finished 26.4% above three year average seasonal levels.
Soybean Oil Stocks – Stocks Rebound to a Four Month High Level but Remain Down 3.8% YOY
Nov ’19 U.S. soybean oil stocks increased 3.5% MOM to a four month high level but remained 3.8% below previous year volumes. The YOY decline in soybean oil stocks was the 11th experienced in a row but the smallest experienced throughout the 11 month period on a percentage basis. The seasonal build in soybean oil stocks of 3.5% was greater than the three year October – November seasonal average build of 0.5%. Nov ’19 soybean oil stocks finished 3.0% above three year average seasonal levels, finishing higher for the first time in the past 11 months.
- Nov ’19 U.S. soybean crushings declined on a YOY basis for the second time in the past three months, finishing down 1.9%.
- Nov ’19 U.S. soybean cake & meal stocks increased 44.5% on a YOY basis, reaching a five year seasonal high level.
- Nov ’19 U.S. soybean oil stocks increased to a four month high level but remained 3.8% below previous year volumes.
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