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U.S. Cattle & Hogs Production Update – Nov ’19
Executive Summary
U.S. livestock slaughter figures provided by USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Oct ‘19. Highlights from the updated report include:
Total 12-month rolling average red meat production finished above trendline for the 26th consecutive month throughout Oct ’19. The Oct ’19 deviation from trendline increased to a ten year high level.
Pork – Production Reaches a Record High Monthly Level, Finishes up 6.4% YOY
Oct ’19 U.S. pork production increased 2.5% MOM and 6.4% YOY when normalizing for slaughter days, reaching a record high monthly level. The YOY increase in pork production was the ninth experienced throughout the past ten months. The Oct ’19 total number of hogs slaughtered increased 5.6% YOY throughout the month while average weights/head finished 0.7% higher YOY. The MOM increase in pork production of 2.5% was slightly greater than the ten year average September – October seasonal build of 1.8%. ’18-’19 annual pork production increased 3.9% YOY, finishing at a record high level.
Beef – Production Increases YOY for the First Time in the Past Three Months, Finishes up 0.3%
Oct ’19 U.S. beef production declined 2.0% MOM but finished 0.3% higher YOY when normalizing for slaughter days, increasing on a YOY basis for the first time in the past three months and reaching a 12 year seasonal high level. The Oct ’19 total number of cattle slaughtered increased 0.6% YOY throughout the month, more than offsetting a 0.2% YOY decline in average weights/head. The MOM decline in beef production of 2.0% was slightly smaller than the ten year average September – October seasonal decline of 2.6%. ’18-’19 annual beef production increased 0.6% YOY, finishing at a 16 year high level.
- Oct ’19 U.S. commercial red meat production increased 3.3% on a YOY basis, reaching a record high seasonal level. The YOY increase in total red meat production was the ninth experienced throughout the past ten months.
- Oct ’19 U.S. pork production increased 6.4% on a YOY basis, reaching a record high monthly level. The total number of hogs slaughtered increased 5.6% YOY throughout the month while average weights/head finished 0.7% higher.
- Oct ’19 U.S. beef production increased 0.3% on a YOY basis, reaching a 12 year seasonal high level. The YOY increase in beef production was the first experienced throughout the past three months. The total number of cattle slaughtered increased 0.6% YOY throughout the month, more than offsetting a 0.2% YOY decline in average weights/head.
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