U.S. Livestock & Meat Trade Update – Jun ’18
Executive Summary
U.S. livestock and meat trade figures provided by USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Apr ’18. Highlights from the updated report include:
Beef & Veal – Exports Increase to a Record Seasonal High, Net Trade Remains Slightly Positive
Apr ’18 U.S. beef export volumes increased 16.1% YOY, finishing higher on a YOY basis for the 22nd consecutive month. Overall, beef export volumes reached a record seasonal high for the month of April, finishing 25.1% above three year average seasonal figures. Of the major export destinations, YOY increases in export volumes on an absolute basis were led by shipments destined to South Korea (+63.1%), followed by shipments destined to Mexico (+30.6%), Japan (+8.8), China, Hong Kong and Taiwan (+7.0%) and Canada (+11.1%). U.S. beef & veal export volumes destined to the aforementioned countries accounted for over 85% of all beef & veal export volumes during Apr ’18.
Apr ’18 U.S. beef & veal import volumes declined on a YOY basis for the second consecutive month, finishing down 5.8%. The increase in beef & veal export volumes, coupled with the decline in import volumes, contributed to net beef & veal trade remaining at a positive level for the seventh time in the past eight months. ’16-’17 annual beef & veal net trade finished at a negative level for the fourth consecutive year, despite export volumes reaching a record annual high, however ’17-’18 YTD net trade has remained at a positive level throughout the first seven months of the production season.
Broilers – Exports Increase to a Five Year Seasonal High, Net Trade Finishes up 13.2% YOY
Apr ’18 U.S. broiler export volumes increased 12.9% YOY, finishing higher for just the second time in the past five months. Broiler export volumes increased to a five year seasonal high for the month of April, finishing 7.5% above three year average seasonal figures. Export volumes destined to China, Hong Kong and Taiwan (+67.3%) and Mexico (+22.0%) finished most significantly higher on an absolute basis throughout the month. YOY declines in broiler export volumes were led by shipments destined to Kazakhstan (-65.7%), the United Arab Emirates (-70.5%) and Chile (-33.9%).
U.S. broiler import volumes declined on a YOY basis for the first time in the past three months during Apr ’18, finishing down 1.9%. Broiler import volumes remain at insignificant levels relative to export volumes, as Apr ’18 imports amounted to just 1.7% of export volumes. The YOY increase in broiler export volumes, coupled with the YOY decline in import volumes, resulted in U.S. broiler net trade finishing up 13.2% YOY during Apr ’18. The YOY increase in net broiler trade was the largest experienced throughout the past six months on a percentage basis. ’16-’17 annual net broiler trade finished up 5.0% YOY to a three year high, while ’17-’18 YTD net trade is up an additional 3.4% throughout the first seven months of the production season.
Overall, combined net trade of U.S. pork, beef and broilers finished higher on a YOY basis for the fourth consecutive month, increasing by 198.7 million pounds, or 23.5%. The YOY increase in combined net trade of pork, beef and broilers was the largest experienced throughout the past 15 months.
- Apr ’18 net pork trade increased on a YOY basis for the eighth consecutive month, finishing up 22.3%. Pork export volumes increased on a YOY basis for the 22nd time in the past 23 months, finishing at a new monthly record high.
- Net beef & veal trade finished at a positive level for the seventh time in the past eight months during Apr ’18 as export volumes reached a record seasonal high for the month of April.
- Net broiler trade increased 13.2% YOY during Apr ’18 as export volumes increased to a five year seasonal high for the month of April. The YOY increase in net broiler trade was the largest experienced throughout the past six months.
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