May ’16 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates
*Significant changes are highlighted
’15/’16 Corn
• Modest increase in exports left ending stocks slightly lower but near trade estimates.
’16/’17 Corn
• Production was in line with expectations using March acreage estimates and trend yields.
• Feed and residual is estimated 300 million higher versus current market year. The highest in nine years.
• Exports are projected 175 million above the current marketing year.
• Overall usage was considerably higher than private trade average estimates.
• Ending stocks at 2.153 billion bushels or 55.6 days of use was below private estimates but a 29 year high.
’15/’16 Soybeans
• Crush was increased 10 million bushels and exports 35 million leaving ending stocks 45 million lower and on the bottom end of trade estimates.
’16/’17 Soybeans
• Production was again in line with expectations using March acreage and trend yields.
• Crush is projected 35 million bushels higher versus the current marketing year and a record high.
• Exports are projected 145 million bushels higher versus the current marketing year and also a record.
• Overall usage and especially exports were well above private trade estimates.
• Ending stocks at 305 million bushels or 28.3 days of use was well below the range of private estimates.
’15/’16 Wheat
• No significant changes.
’16/’17 Wheat
• Production was estimated only marginally lower than last year despite 10% less acres and was above private estimates based on near record yields.
• Feed and residual usage was increased 30 million and exports 145 million bushels.
• Ending stocks at 1,029 million bushels or 180.8 days of use slightly above private estimates.
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May ’16 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates