October ’15 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates
*Significant changes are highlighted
’14/’15 Corn
o Feed, ethanol, exports, and overall supply and demand were adjusted based on data leaving ending stocks at 1.73 billion or a solid 46 days of use.
’15/’16 Corn
o Area planted/harvested and yield were reduced but less than expected leaving production down 30 million bushels.
o Ending stocks were projected at 1.56 billion bushels or 41.4 days of use and near private estimates.
’14/’15 Soybeans
o Production was revised lower through less acreage and yield stemming from the September stocks report leaving ending stocks at a modest 191 million or 18 days of use.
’15/’16 Soybeans
o Yield was increased 0.1 bushels per acre to 47.2 but acreage was reduced a considerable 1.1 million acres leaving production down 46 million bushels from last month’s estimates.
o Crush was increased 10 million bushels to another record level following last years.
o Exports were reduced a significant 50 million bushels reflecting current sales pace and prospects of another large South American crop.
o Ending stocks of 425 million bushels or 42.1 days of use and were in line with trade estimates.
Other Markets
o Global wheat production is projected at a third consecutive record in 2015/2016 with revisions higher in Australian, Canadian, and EU production.
o US beef output revised higher on greater cattle finish weights and marketing numbers.
o Global rice production is estimated lower leaving ending stocks at 8 year lows of 66 days of use.
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October ’15 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates