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Atten Babler Meat FX Indices – Sep ’21

  • September 3, 2021September 3, 2021
  • by Belinda Przybylski

The Atten Babler Commodities Meat Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices strengthened throughout Aug ’21. The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index increased to a four month high level while the USD/Meat Importer FX Index increased to a ten month high level and USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index reached a five month high level throughout the month.

Global Meat Net Trade:

Major net meat exporters are led by the U.S., followed by Brazil, the EU-28, India, Canada and Australia (represented in green in the chart below). Major net meat importers are led by Japan, followed by Russia, Mexico, the U.S., China, the EU-28, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia (represented in red in the chart below).

The United States accounts for over a quarter of the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index, followed by Brazil at 22% and the EU-28 at 14%. India, Canada and Australia each account for between 5-10% of the index.

Japan accounts for 14% of the USD/Meat Importer FX Index, followed by Russia at 12%. Mexico, the United States, China, the EU-28, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia each account for between 5-10% of the index.

USD/Meat Exporter FX Index:

The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index increased 1.0 point throughout Aug ’21, finishing at a four month high value of 155.6. The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index has increased 1.3 points throughout the past six months and 46.8 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Meat Exporter FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. meat relative to other exporting regions (represented in green in the Global Meat Net Trade chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Brazilian real has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.

USD appreciation within the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index during Aug ’21 was led by gains against the Brazilian real, followed by gains against the Australian dollar, euro and Canadian dollar. USD declines were exhibited against the Indian rupee.

USD/Meat Importer FX Index:

The USD/Meat Importer FX Index increased 0.2 points throughout Aug ’21, finishing at a ten month high value of 155.6. The USD/Meat Importer FX Index has increased 1.4 points throughout the past six months and 39.7 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Meat Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for major meat importing countries (represented in red in the Global Meat Net Trade chart), making U.S. meat more expensive to import. USD appreciation against the Russian ruble and Mexican peso has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.

USD appreciation within the USD/Meat Importer FX Index during Aug ’21 was led by gains against the Mexican peso, followed by gains against the Chilean peso and South Korean won. USD declines were exhibited against the Russian ruble and Japanese yen.

U.S. Meat Export Destinations:

Major destinations for U.S. meat exports are led by Mexico, followed by Japan, China, Canada, and Hong Kong.

Mexico accounts for over a quarter of the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index, followed by Japan at 11%. China, Canada and Hong Kong each account for between 5-10% of the index.

USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index:

The USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index increased 0.5 points throughout Aug ’21, finishing at a five month high value of 164.3. The USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index has increased 1.7 points throughout the past six months and 46.9 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. meat (represented in red in the U.S. Meat Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Mexican peso has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.

USD appreciation within the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index during Aug ’21 was led by gains against the Mexican peso, followed by gains against the Canadian dollar, South Korean won and Chilean peso. USD declines were exhibited against the Japanese yen.

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