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U.S. Dairy Product Production Update – Jan ’21

  • January 8, 2021
  • by Belinda Przybylski
Executive Summary U.S. dairy product production figures provided by the USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Nov ’20. Highlights from the updated report include:
  • Nov ’20 U.S. butter production finished 4.0% higher on a YOY basis, remaining at a record high seasonal level for the fifth consecutive month.
  • Nov ’20 U.S. cheese production finished 0.6% higher on a YOY basis, reaching a record high seasonal level, however dry whey production finished lower on a YOY basis for the fourth consecutive month, declining by 5.9% and reaching a 36 year low seasonal level.
  • Combined production of U.S. nonfat dry milk and skim milk powder increased 8.6% on a YOY basis during Nov ’20, remaining at a record high seasonal level. Nonfat dry milk production increased 9.2% YOY throughout the month, reaching a record high seasonal level, while skim milk powder production increased to a seven year high seasonal level.
Additional Report Details Butter – Production Remains at a Record High Seasonal Level, Finishes up 4.0% YOY According to the USDA, Nov ’20 U.S. butter production finished 4.0% higher on a YOY basis, remaining at a record high seasonal level for the fifth consecutive month. The YOY increase in butter production was the 16th experienced throughout the past 18 months. YOY increases in production were widespread and led by the Western U.S. (+4.3%), followed by the Central U.S. (+3.8) and the Atlantic U.S. (+3.5%). ’18-’19 annual butter production increased 1.3% YOY, reaching the highest annual level on record, while ’19-’20 annual butter production increased an additional 5.6%. Cheese – Production Reaches a Record High Seasonal Level, Finishes up 0.6% YOY U.S. cheese production finished 0.6% higher on a YOY basis throughout Nov ’20, reaching a record high seasonal level. The YOY increase in cheese production was the fourth experienced throughout the past six months. Higher cheese production experienced throughout the Central U.S. (+3.1%) more than offset reductions in Atlantic U.S. (-0.6%) and Western U.S. (-1.7%) production throughout the month. Cheddar cheese production increased 3.7% on a YOY basis throughout the month, more than offsetting a 0.6% YOY decline in other-than-cheddar cheese production. The YOY increase in cheddar cheese production was the ninth experienced throughout the past ten months. ’18-’19 annual cheese production increased 1.7% YOY, reaching the highest annual level on record, as a 2.6% YOY increase in other-than-cheddar cheese more than offset a 0.5% YOY decline in cheddar cheese production. Cheddar cheese production remained at the second highest annual level on record, however. ’19-’20 annual cheese production remained flat on a YOY basis as a 1.1% YOY increase in cheddar cheese production offset a 0.4% YOY decline in other-than-cheddar cheese production. Dry Whey – Production Declines to a 36 Year Seasonal Low Level, Finishes Down 5.9% YOY U.S. dry whey production declined 5.9% on a YOY basis throughout Nov ’20, reaching a 36 year low seasonal level. The YOY decline in dry whey production was the fourth experienced in a row. YOY declines in production were widespread and led by the Atlantic U.S. (-8.7%), followed by the Central U.S. (-6.6) and the Western U.S. (-1.4%). Oct ’20 dry whey production figures were also revised 6.7% lower than previously stated in the most recent report. Combined whey protein concentrate (WPC) and whey protein isolate (WPI) production finished lower on a YOY basis for the 17th time in the past 18 months during Nov ’20, declining by 2.7%. Combined production of dry whey, WPC and WPI finished 4.6% lower on a YOY basis throughout the month. ’18-’19 annual dry whey production declined 5.2% YOY, reaching a four year low level, while combined production of dry whey, WPC and WPI declined 4.0%, finishing at a three year low. ’19-’20 annual dry whey production rebounded by 1.1% on a YOY basis however combined production of dry whey, WPC and WPI declined by 0.8%. NFDM/SMP – Combined Production Remains at a Record High Seasonal Level, Finishes up 8.6% YOY U.S. nonfat dry milk (NFDM) production increased 9.2% on a YOY basis throughout Nov ’20, reaching a record high seasonal level. The YOY increase in NFDM production was the fourth experienced in a row and the largest experienced throughout the past seven months on a percentage basis. YOY increases in production were widespread and led by the Central U.S. (+11.0%), followed by the Western U.S. (+9.2) and the Atlantic U.S. (+7.2%). Production of skim milk powder (SMP), which is more suited to the requirements of most global markets, finished higher on a YOY basis for the seventh consecutive month during Nov ’20, increasing by 6.8% and reaching a seven year high seasonal level. Combined production of NFDM and SMP finished 8.6% above previous year levels, increasing on a YOY basis for the fourth consecutive month and reaching a record high seasonal level. ’18-’19 annual combined production of NFDM and SMP increased 0.1% YOY, reaching the highest annual level on record. SMP production increased 2.6% on a YOY basis throughout the period, more than offsetting a 0.7% YOY decline in NFDM production. ’19-’20 annual combined production of NFDM and SMP increased by an additional 5.2% on a YOY basis on a 3.2% YOY increase in NFDM production and an 11.7% YOY increase in SMP production. Overall, nonfat dry milk production increased most significantly YOY on a percentage basis during Nov ’20, followed by total powder production, while dry whey production declined most significantly on a percentage basis throughout the month.  
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