Atten Babler Meat FX Indices – Apr ’18
The Atten Babler Commodities Meat Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices strengthened throughout Mar ’18. The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index increased to a two year high while the USD/Meat Importer FX Index and the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index each increased to record high levels throughout the month.
Global Meat Net Trade:
Major net meat exporters are led by the U.S., followed by Brazil, the EU-28, India, Canada and Australia (represented in green in the chart below). Major net meat importers are led by Japan, followed by Russia, Mexico, the U.S., China, the EU-28, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia (represented in red in the chart below).
The United States accounts for over a quarter of the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index, followed by Brazil at 22% and the EU-28 at 14%. India, Canada and Australia each account for between 5-10% of the index.
Japan accounts for 14% of the USD/Meat Importer FX Index, followed by Russia at 12%. Mexico, the United States, China, the EU-28, Hong Kong and Saudi Arabia each account for between 5-10% of the index.
USD/Meat Exporter FX Index:
The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index increased 1.4 points during Mar ’18, finishing at a two year high value of 98.9. The USD/Meat Exporter FX Index has increased 9.1 points throughout the past six months and 67.0 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Meat Exporter FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. meat relative to other exporting regions (represented in green in the Global Meat Net Trade chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Argentine peso and Belarusian ruble has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.
USD appreciation within the USD/Meat Exporter FX Index during Mar ’18 was led by gains against the Argentine peso, followed by gains against the Brazilian real, Turkish lira and Canadian dollar. USD declines were exhibited against the Belarusian ruble.
USD/Meat Importer FX Index:
The USD/Meat Importer FX Index increased 1.0 point during Mar ’18, finishing at a record high value of 140.8. The USD/Meat Importer FX Index has increased 12.6 points throughout the past six months and 79.7 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Meat Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for major meat importing countries (represented in red in the Global Meat Net Trade chart), making U.S. meat more expensive to import. USD appreciation against the Angolan kwanza and Venezuelan bolivar has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.
USD appreciation within the USD/Meat Importer FX Index during Mar ’18 was led by gains against the Angolan kwanza, followed by gains against the Iranian rial and Russian ruble. USD declines were exhibited against the Ukrainian hryvnia and Japanese yen.
U.S. Meat Export Destinations:
Major destinations for U.S. meat exports are led by Mexico, followed by Japan, China, Canada, and Hong Kong.
Mexico accounts for over a quarter of the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index, followed by Japan at 11%. China, Canada and Hong Kong each account for between 5-10% of the index.
USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index:
The USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index increased 1.6 points during Mar ’18, finishing at a record high value of 125.7. The USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index has increased 18.7 points throughout the past six months and 79.3 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. meat (represented in red in the U.S. Meat Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Angolan kwanza has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014.
USD appreciation within the USD/Domestic Meat Importer FX Index during Mar ’18 was led by gains against the Angolan kwanza, followed by gains against the Turkish lira and Canadian dollar. USD declines were experienced against the Mexican peso and Japanese yen.